Future Flames 2002
Calgarypuck.com - Likelihood Analysis

In past seasons the Calgarypuck.com prospect analysis centered around the potential of each prospect, ignoring other encumbrances that may impede or improve a player's chances of actually making it to the NHL.

Rank

Player

Likelihood

Potential

Average

1

Jordan Leopold

4.8

4.3

4.53

1

Chuck Kobasew

4.8

4.2

4.50

3

Eric Nystrom

4.0

3.4

3.69

4

Blair Betts

3.9

2.9

3.37

5

Levente Szuper

3.6

3.4

3.54

6

Steve Montador

3.5

2.6

3.06

7

Oleg Saprykin

3.5

3.5

3.50

8

Jesse Cook

3.1

2.6

2.86

9

Mathew Lombardi

3.0

3.4

3.21

9

Brent Krahn

3.0

3.0

2.99

11

Andrei Taratukhin

2.9

3.1

2.99

12

Roman Rozakov

2.4

2.3

2.36

13

Micki Dupont

2.3

2.3

2.27

14

Dimitri Kokorev

2.2

2.4

2.26

15

Andrei Medvedev

2.1

2.7

2.41

The summer of 2002 has an added feature, looking at the chances of each player to make the grade, regardless of the type of degree of talent each player possesses.

In this study, a player with a very specific role, or attribute may actually surpass a player with great God given gifts.

The table to the right shows the Flames prospects rated by their likelihood of appearing in a NHL uniform.

The Flames top two prospects in terms of potential; Jordan Leopold and Chuck Kobasew, both sit at the top of the likelihood table as well - a very good sign for Flames fans. When your top prospects don't have impeding issues, they have a much better chance of reaching their potential.

Eric Nystrom moves up from fifth on the potential list to third on the likelihood list, showing that Flames fans like his chances of donning a Flame uniform.

Blair Betts sits fourth in likelihood, despite his 9th place standing on the potential chart.

Oleg Saprykin tumbles from the third spot in potential down to 7th in likelihood, likely due to his abysmal season in 2001-02.

It's interesting to note the collective fall of many of the Flames recent Russian prospects.

 

 

Feature Guide

Potential Rating Key

Likelihood Rating Key

2000 All Future Team

2001 All Future Team

2002 All Future Team

Potential Analysis - 2000

Potential Analysis - 2001

Potential Analysis - 2002

Likelihood Analysis - 2002

Combined Analysis - 2002

2000 to 2001

2001 to 2002

Jordan Leopold

Chuck Kobasew

Oleg Saprykin

Levente Szuper

Eric Nystrom

Past Ratings vs. Current Success

Right On the Money

Way Off the Mark