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Future Flames 2002
Calgarypuck.com - Combined Analysis
Now that we've established each player's potential and chances of making it to the NHL, it's tempting to combine the two statistics to come up with an overall index.
The question is ... how?
Really, merging potential and likelihood is like combining an apple with an orange.
For the sake of interest, we've come up with a direct average of the two indices to provide a another way of ranking the players, but admit that the weighting of each category could vary a great deal.
|
Rank |
Player |
Likelihood |
Potential |
Average |
|
1 |
Jordan Leopold |
4.8 |
4.3 |
4.53 |
|
2 |
Chuck Kobasew |
4.8 |
4.2 |
4.50 |
|
3 |
Eric Nystrom |
4.0 |
3.4 |
3.69 |
|
4 |
Levente Szuper |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.54 |
|
5 |
Oleg Saprykin |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.50 |
|
6 |
Blair Betts |
3.9 |
2.9 |
3.37 |
|
7 |
Mathew Lombardi |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.21 |
|
8 |
Steve Montador |
3.5 |
2.6 |
3.06 |
|
9 |
Andrei Taratukhin |
2.9 |
3.1 |
2.99 |
|
10 |
Brent Krahn |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.99 |
|
11 |
Jesse Cook |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.86 |
|
12 |
Andrei Medvedev |
2.1 |
2.7 |
2.41 |
|
13 |
Roman Rozakov |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.36 |
|
14 |
Micki Dupont |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.27 |
|
15 |
Dimitri Kokorev |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.26 |
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Is a prospect more cherished because he's a sure fire NHL player? Or does potential and talent lead the way for prospect ratings.
At any rate the analysis to the right shows the results, given a 50/50 weighting.
The top three players from the likelihood table remain at the top of the combined table, but Oleg Saprykin, who moves from 9th to 5th, showed a significant increase in placement.
The combined chart lowers the placement of less talented players like Blair Betts and Steve Montador, while rewarding the nutritionally challenged Andrei Medvedev.
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