Assumptions are almost always dangerous.
When a scientist takes a key variable and applies an assumption any hypothesis or result that comes from testing will only as valid as that assumption, meaning the very nature of the assumption could render his life’s work completely useless.
And really what is a hockey team, and the building of a hockey team than that of an experiment? An experiment in drafting, developing, projecting, and team building. An ability to assess the growth of a team’s prospects, the development of players on their roster, the shape of a roster both this season, next season, in two seasons and in ten.
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