WAR Model Update: Post Free Ageny Frenzy

July 4th, 2018 | Posted in Commentary | By: D'Arcy McGrath

Last week I published a story looking at Manny Perry’s WAR model, the Flames recent blockbuster with Carolina and the potential signing of Derek Ryan.

It was an interesting exercise to bring an subjectively weighted model into the analysis in an objective player to player standpoint. The basic summary was the Flames took a step forward in the Carolina transaction at least when it came to current NHLers (Adam Fox issue to be debated), and that adding Derek Ryan would further bolster the lineup.

Now with the Ryan signing official, we look again at said model, the new Flames roster with the surprising add of James Neal, and how the WAR model correlates with the standings from last year.

– Full Article –


A Derek Ryan Signing, the Trade and the WAR Model

June 29th, 2018 | Posted in Commentary | By: D'Arcy McGrath

Social media can be a cavernous and spooky place, chalk filled with great hockey minds, fringe opinions and a lot of extremes. Often these extremes can manifest around the same topic, with fans changing sides in minutes based on a fringe statistic or analysis.

When Bill Peters was on Calgary radio earlier this week he was asked about Derek Ryan, to which he admitted they’d like to bring him to Calgary. The comments set off a backlash from many about bringing his own people in. How many terrible Hurricane players do you need in Calgary? Not another fourth line player in his 30s. What are the Flames doing?

Derek Ryan is the current lightning rod, and acts as a pretty interesting study into statistics and how they could be or are being used to weed out signing and trade targets in the National Hockey League.

Who is Derek Ryan?

– Full Article –


Top Six Construction: The Squeeze!

June 16th, 2018 | Posted in Commentary | By: D'Arcy McGrath

The Flames need to score more goals.

That statement won’t come as a shock to anyone.

When Bob McKenzie sat Brad Treliving and the other GMs down in Penticton before last season, one of his standard questions going in the campaign was what kept each manager up at night.

Treliving didn’t pause a moment before suggesting goal scoring was his biggest fear. Where would they come from? Would they score enough?

He was right. They didn’t score enough, and when they did it was concentrated on too few players. Injuries finally crumbled the foundation sending the team from a playoff club in late February to a meek squad playing out the squad until the end.

It wasn’t pretty. – Full Article –


Tyler Parsons, Leaving KC on a High Note

February 3rd, 2018 | Posted in Commentary | By: Paige Siewert

Tyler Parsons. The Calgary Flames top prospect according to NHL.com. A young goalie with noticeable talent and vast potential, made what might be his last appearance for the Kansas City Mavericks on Tuesday night.

“I kinda knew in the back of my mind that I was going to go back up to Stockton on Wednesday so I wanted to end here on a good note.”

– Full Article –


The Numbers Behind Dome Misery

January 24th, 2018 | Posted in Commentary | By: D'Arcy McGrath

Sometimes too much can be made of splits.

We heard ad naseum about how the Flames couldn’t win in Anaheim, it was an odd nuance, nothing more in the broad scheme of things.

This season the Oilers are ranked number one on the road in the penalty kill, but are so dreadful at home killing penalties that the club is ranked 31st when you look at all their games when down a man, as they’re literally giving up a goal 50% of the time at the new rink sinking their overall rate.

The Flames are road warriors but terrible on home ice, the story of the week and I guess the season.

But how do the underlying numbers look? – Full Article –



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